Mark it in your calendar...
MedCORDEX-Baltic Earth Workshop on
Regional Climate System Modelling for the European Sea Regions
Universitat de les Illes Balears, Palma de Mallorca, Spain
14- 16 March 2018
The aim of this workshop is to share recent progress in the
understanding of regional climate variability with special focus on
coupled effects between sea, atmosphere, land and anthroposphere. In
this workshop, we will focus on European seas and their catchment areas
like the Mediterranean Sea, Black Sea, North Sea, Baltic Sea and Arctic
Ocean - highly sensitive areas where global models fail to give reliable
information about changing climate because key processes are not
properly resolved.
Contributions related to any
aspect of the description and modelling of regional climate are welcome.
Some of the topics addressed in the workshop will be the description of
present and future regional climates, the development and evaluation of
regional climate system models and the assessment of extreme and high
impact events.
More infos here:
http://www.baltic.earth/mallorca2018/
The BACC Blog
Regional Climate Change in the Baltic Sea region and its impacts on marine and terrestrial environments
www.baltic-earth.eu/BACC2/
Thursday, 12 October 2017
New discussion forum on coupled atmosphere-ocean modeling in the North and Baltic Sea regions
Based on requests from colleagues which were present at the recent Baltic Earth Workshop on "Coupled atmosphere-ocean modeling for the Baltic Sea and North Sea" (http://www.baltic.earth/caom2017), we have prepared a forum platform for discussing related subjects. You are welcome to have a look and participate in the discussion on this new forum, and please also spread this information among your colleagues. You just need to register, then you will be able to post messages and open new topics. For a start we have two forums open: "General issues" and "Nemo". More can be added upon request. If you encounter any problems in using the forums let us know as we are just starting this.
http://caom.forumieren.de
http://caom.forumieren.de
Wednesday, 14 December 2016
BACC as example for "Mature Science"
The AGU Fall Meeting in San Fransisco is the largest
scientific meeting in the world. Each year in December, 20.000
- 30.000 scientists from all over the world gather in a gigantic conference centre which
then resembles a space station from a science fiction movie.
On the first day, there was a session on "Determining Matured Science: Utility, Cases, and Formats",
invited by Hans von Storch. The example of the regional BACC-style reports was
presented alongside with the global IPCC reports.
The presentations were followerd by a dedicated
podium discussion. Here, the term "mature science" was discussed for the case of
climate science; loosely defined as the state of science which has reached a
preliminary "it is now fairly safe to say" status, and on the basis of which
political and management decisions can be taken. The global IPCC and regional
climate reports were discussed as examples for the documentation of such
"mature" science.
The presentations and the podium discussion can be
viewed at the AGU On Demand website, search for Union session
U14A. https://agu.confex.com/agu/fm16/meetingapp.cgi/Session/12971
Tuesday, 30 August 2016
Baltic Earth Summer School on "Climate change in the Baltic Sea region"
20 students
from 6 countries from around the Baltic Sea have gathered on the beautiful
Swedish island of Askö for the third Baltic Earth summer school. After a rainy
start, the sun is out and everybody is in good spirits for the days to come.
Coming from an interdisciplinary mix of backgrounds (meteorology, oceanography,
geography, social science, coastal engineering), the Master and PhD students
will learn about the state of the art of climate and climate change research in
the Baltic Sea region. Seven lecturers will cover all aspects of climate change
in the Baltic Sea region. Course coordinators are Markus Meier from the Leibnitz
Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde and Marcus Reckermann from the International
Baltic Earth Secretariat at Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht. The summer school is
also co-organized by the Universities of Rostock and Stockholm.
More at http://www.baltic-earth.eu/summerschool2016/
Tuesday, 8 December 2015
1st Baltic Earth Conference, Nida, Lithuania, 13-17 June 2016: Call for Papers open!
One important outcome of the BACC II book has been the understanding that the observed environmental changes are often caused by a
mixture of interwoven factors, among them climate change and its
associated impacts, eutrophication, pollution, fisheries, land cover
change and others. Each of these factors has a scientific and a societal
dimension, which are often interdependent, and which makes the
identification of a single, or even dominant factor responsible for the
change difficult.
The scope of this first Baltic Earth Conference is to attempt to describe the different factors for change, their impacts on the Earth system of the Baltic Sea region, and to demonstrate the capacity to model any of these factors in a single or a coupled approach. Are we able to simulate the observed changes in a realistic way? Are we able to produce credible scenarios for the future? Ultimately, this analysis should help to identify knowledge gaps and research needs for the coming years, to help find solutions for the challenges we face in the future.
We sincerely hope that you and many of your colleagues may find this interesting enough to come to Nida on the Curonian Spit in June 2016. This is a wonderful place to discuss the above topics.
For the call and more infos, go to
www.baltic-earth.eu/nida2016
The scope of this first Baltic Earth Conference is to attempt to describe the different factors for change, their impacts on the Earth system of the Baltic Sea region, and to demonstrate the capacity to model any of these factors in a single or a coupled approach. Are we able to simulate the observed changes in a realistic way? Are we able to produce credible scenarios for the future? Ultimately, this analysis should help to identify knowledge gaps and research needs for the coming years, to help find solutions for the challenges we face in the future.
We sincerely hope that you and many of your colleagues may find this interesting enough to come to Nida on the Curonian Spit in June 2016. This is a wonderful place to discuss the above topics.
For the call and more infos, go to
www.baltic-earth.eu/nida2016
Wednesday, 11 November 2015
Call for Abstracts: Joint North Sea - Baltic Sea Climate Change Session at EGU 2016
At the next EGU General Assembly in Vienna, 17-22 April 2016, we will have the second joint BACC-NOSCCA session, after 2015. We now invite contributions covering topics covered by the two assessment projects but are not necessarily part of them. Thus we would like to invite the North and Baltic Sea climate change and impacts research community to submit abstracts. Have a look at the session description here.
Abstracts submission deadline: 13 January 2016.
Abstracts submission deadline: 13 January 2016.
Tuesday, 26 May 2015
Deliang Chen on BACC and Baltic Earth
During the
BACC II presentation in Copenhagen, I took the opportunity to ask Deliang Chen
of the University of Gothenburg, Sweden, a few questions. Deliang has been an
important figure in international research coordination for many years. From
2009 to 2012 he was Executive Director of ICSU, the International Council of
Science (ICSU). This international organization has committed itself to
strengthen international science and scientific collaboration on the global
level for the benefit of society. The transition of the Earth System Science
Partnership programmes and the birth of Future Earth fell into Deliang´s term
at ICSU.
Q: What
raised your interest in climate scienc
A: It was
clouds. When I was a child, I was fascinated by the seemingly unlimited number
of different forms of clouds. That trigged my interest in meteorology, and then
climate science. I became really interested in climate science during my PhD
work which dealt with global climate modeling. Since then I have a fairly broad
interest in Earth System Science which has replied on advances in climate
science, especially the creation of the concept climate system and climate
models.
Q: During
your time at ICSU, how has the international research landscape changed (with
respect to environmental change programmes) and how to you rate that change?
A: A lot of
things happened during my tenure at ICSU (2009-2012). As you know, ICSU have
many activities, but the leadership for global environmental change programmes
(IGBP, IHDP, WCRP, Diversitas and their partnership ESSP) is probably the most
important one. I would say that the most important change is the mindset of the
global scientific community. Having realized the crucial role that human
activity plays and the great need of society for scientific input to achieve
sustainability, the community is more ready to move towards truly integrated
Earth System Science and to take the responsibility to find new ways to
co-design and co-create knowledge involving a broad range of social and
engineering communities, as well as with other stakeholders. I think these
changes are necessary and great since all scientists also have social
responsibility through our basic and applied research activities. While
fundamental research is often disciplinary and curiosity driven research is
always needed, solution oriented research with in-depth disciplinary knowledge
and transdisciplinary approach provide effective means to deliver useful and
relevant knowledge to society.
Q: The new
BACC book has just now been finished. What are the main differences to the
well-known IPCC reports?
A: To me
there are two main differences with regard to government involvement and scope.
IPCC is a UN body under influences of governments, while BACC represents a
bottom-up process involving scientific communities in the region. The IPCC
report focuses on climate change issues only, whereas BACC also dealt with
non-climate issues such air pollution. Besides, IPCC has three separate working
groups and reports, whereas BACC has integrated various aspects in one volume.
The political aspects of IPCC are sometimes seen as something negative. But it
is absolutely necessary as it is meant to serve as a common basis for
interaction negotiations on climate change. BACC enjoys the full independence
compared to IPCC. But it may need additional efforts to reach out to the policy
and decision making communities afterwards, to make it more useful and
accessible to the nonacademic readers. It is clear that the regional focus of
BACC report offers a great potential to be useful for the region. However,
nothing automatic should be expected. Finally, since the future scenarios of
BACC depend on IPCC report, the two efforts are really complementary.
Q: You are
in the new Baltic Earth advisory committee. Where do you see Baltic Earth in
the international research landscape?
A: I see
Baltic Earth as a mutual community and network with a great potential for
research development and service to society in the Baltic Sea region. It had
some links to WCRP through GEWEX which focuses on water and energy balance. Now
that both Baltic Earth and international research landscape have been changed and
is changing, there is an opportunity for Baltic Earth to find its new role and
its relation with global research programmes. In this regard, I am thinking
specifically on a new framework towards regional Earth System Science for
sustainability in the region, and the new global research program Future Earth
which is becoming “the game of the town” for Earth system science for global
sustainability.
Q: What
would be your advice for Baltic Earth in the long term?
A: I would
say that the most important thing is to keep focusing on added value and
synergy in the changing world and remain relevant and inspirational.
Q: Tell us
a little bit about your current research activities.
A: At the
national level, I am involved in two Swedish national strategic research
programs BECC (Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate) and
MERGE (ModElling the Regional and Global Earth system). I am also leading a
project to develop a framework to support climate-adaptation actions in Sweden
with a focus on extremes such as flooding and drought. At the international
level, I am involved in statistical downscaling activity for VALUE (a COST
action) and CORDEX (a WCRP project). Overall, my main focus has been on a
project looking at climate change and its impact on water balances in Tibet. I
visited Tibet in 2011 and have since then developed a strong interest for the
regional. Recently, I joined a group of more than 80 Chinese scientists in
making an Environment Change Assessment for Tibet, which is similar to the BACC
effort.
Thank you,
Deliang, for this interview!
BACC Book presented and discussed at ECCA 2015 in Copenhagen
On 14 May
the new book on climate change in the Baltic Sea basin and related impacts was
presented and discussed at the 2nd European Climate Change Adaptation
Conference (ECCA) in Copenhagen. This
event seemed perfect for this purpose as several hundred scientists,
practitioners, politicians and other stakeholders gathered at the ECCA
conference to discuss the state of the science and adaptation strategies
regarding the challenge of climate change.
In the
morning, Marcus Reckermann, coordinator of the book project, presented some
core results on behalf of the authors. Then, in a midday plenary, BACC
initiator and chairman Hans von Storch of the Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht and
University of Hamburg, gave some background information on the BACC scope and
process, followed by a vivid panel discussion. Members of the discussion panel
next to Hans were (from left to right): Deliang Chen of the University of
Gothenburg, Sweden, renown climate scientists and former Executive Director of
ICSU (International Council of Science), Lykke Leonardsen, co-organizer of the
ECCA conference and head of the Climate Unit of the City of Copenhagen, and
Maxi Nachtigall, Advisor at CBSS (Council of the Baltic Sea States), a
political forum for regional intergovernmental cooperation between the Baltic
Sea states. The midday session was chaired by Jürgen Kropp of Potsdam Institute
for Climate Impact Research, and the discussion was moderated by Marcus
Reckermann of the International Baltic Earth Secretariat.
The
discussion evolved around two questions: Firstly, what are the differences
between BACC and the IPCC reports (and why are regional reports necessary), and
secondly, specifically addressed to the two ladies, what is the use for
stakeholders? Here is the attempt of a very brief summary:
Why a
regional report?
The first
question was taken up by Hans who pointed out that regional experts know the
conditions in their region better than “global” experts. Also, regional
decision makers require regional knowledge, as highly resolved as possible.
Hans also stressed the aspect that knowledge is more important than authors,
which is manifested by the fact that the new BACC report was authored by a
completely new group of authors, who nevertheless confirmed the knowledge of
the first report of 2008. Deliang mentioned the aspect that BACC is an independent
“bottom-up” effort organized by scientists while IPCC is a political
organization under governmental influence. Still both approaches have their
justification and should be considered as complementary rather than
competitive.
The question
whether the previous BACC material had been used by the stakeholder community
was candidly discussed. Both representatives from the stakeholder community
confirmed that the BACC material has been useful, but they also revealed
potential for improvement. Maxi suggested that a cooperation with other
stakeholders similar to the one with HELCOM would be desirable, so that the
material could be better shaped for the specific stakeholder needs. Lykke
pointed out that it is virtually impossible for a practitioner in a city
administration to work through the whole book and find the gems which are
relevant for their work. “Help us find the diamonds”, Lykke said, and Hans
replied that scientists do not know what the true diamonds for specific
stakeholder groups are. “You need to tell us what you need to know”, he said.
Also the envisaged publication of small summary booklets in the many languages
of the Baltic Sea region, may only partly solve this problem.
It seems
that if we really want to provide useful information not only for the
scientific community, we need to communicate on a par and in an open way. Maybe
this resume has also relevance for the complete conference.
Thursday, 16 April 2015
BACC II Book now available!
Unlike pronounced earlier, the BACC II book is already now available and ready for free download from the Springer website, thanks to swift page proof processing by the authors and the formatting people at Springer.
Here is the BACC II homepage at Springer with a direct download link:
http://www.springer.com/gp/book/9783319160054
Nevertheless, we will have the our launch event at the European Climate Change Adaptation Conference (ECCA 2015) in Copenhagen on 14 May. Look here for details...
Here is the BACC II homepage at Springer with a direct download link:
http://www.springer.com/gp/book/9783319160054
Nevertheless, we will have the our launch event at the European Climate Change Adaptation Conference (ECCA 2015) in Copenhagen on 14 May. Look here for details...
Wednesday, 15 April 2015
Greetings from Vienna: Joint Baltic-North Sea Climate Change Session at EGU by BACC and NOOSCA
Each year,
geoscientists from all over the world meet in Vienna at the European General
Assembly (EGU). This year, the Baltic Earth Secretariat, together with the
coordinators of the North Sea climate change assessment project NOSCCA, had
organized a joint session which aimed to bring together the recent results of
both recent assessments, BACC II and NOSCCA.
The half-day session was called “Climate
change assessments for the Baltic and North Sea regions: Observations, model
projections and impacts” and was one of the opening sessions of the conference
on Monday 13 April. Despite strong competition, the lecture hall was almost
“sold out”, and we counted nearly 100 participants. The oral session with 12
talks in the morning was complemented by a poster session in the evening,
during which 17 posters were on display.
The concept
to bring together the two assessments proved to be successful, which was shown
by the large number of participants and vivid discussions at both the oral and
poster sessions. Thus, we cannot rule out that we aim at a similar session at
EGU next year…
Conveners
of the session were Marcus Reckermann and Anders Omstedt on behalf of BACC, and
Markus Quante and Corinna Schrum on behalf of NOSCCA.
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